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September 2022 - Winners Dream by Bill McDermott with Joanne Gordon

This month we hear about Bill McDermott’s meteoric rise to the CEO job at SAP and his philosophy around management. I must also acknowledge the incredible and underappreciated role that Julie McDermott and Bill’s family plays in this book. Bill moved his family from NYC to Puerto Rico to Chicago to Rochester to Connecticut to California to Philadelphia over the course of his 25-year career. Sometimes with multiple moves rather quickly. The selflessness they displayed is unfathomable.

Tech Themes

  1. Growing License Revenue at SAP. When Bill McDermott got to SAP North America, he quickly realized they were behind the game. The firm had enjoyed relatively unmatched success in its early years but was now coming into competition with one of Bill’s former employers - Siebel Systems. He saw what he viewed as lackluster standards - people were late to meetings, lacked professionalism, and moved painfully slowly on new action plans. McDermott created a new strategy around a $3B revenue target, and recruited the company’s top managers to share the plan in mini-meetings across every division. After providing the new strategy, he focused on value engineering, a way of demonstrating the ROI from implementing a company’s software. He instituted a weekly Top 20 Call, where the head of sales detailed the top 20 deals in progress, and Bill unleashed his sales intensity in helping people close deals. “What’s the business case? Have we presented it to the CEO? When is the next meeting? What, you just found out the company can’t sign because its purchasing director is on vacation? What’s your plan to backfill the loss? If someone didn’t know his next move, he wasn’t doing his job.” One of McDermott’s super-powers is maintaining a big vision while being able to slip into the micro-managing intensity of Andy Grove’s Only the Paranoid Survive and Ben Horowitz’s War-time CEO. 85% of C-Suite employees left, McDermott recruited 100 new sales employees, and in 2005, SAP America delivered $3.2B of revenue.

  2. Reinvention. McDermott is unafraid to go in new directions and take on new challenges. He had earned his stripes by taking over challenged business units in Xerox, first Puerto Rico, then Chicago, and then Xerox Business Services, their outsourcing division. Xerox at the time was suffering from a classic Innovator’s Dilemma - the XBS division was growing quickly but resulted in lower profit margins, so was not getting the love and admiration it deserved. “Instead of worrying about the value of my retirement account, I was interested in growing the business. Rather than ignoring the changing market, we should have been pouncing on it…Many people thought I was crazy to join the junior varsity team. XBS represented only 5 percent of Xerox’s overall revenues. Others even tried to block my transfer to XBS.” McDermott believed in the power of pageantry and held a massive, blow-out sales conference in San Antonio, complete with fake politicians and news style interview booths. McDermott had set a $4B revenue target for XBS and he missed the target. XBS revenue’s grew from 900m of revenue to $2B in 1997, $2.7B in 1998, $3.4B in 1999, and $3.8B in 2000, just missing the $4B revenue target by 2000. “Was I upset that we fell shy of our $4B bull’s-eye? Not one bit. The point of setting audacious goals was that we could almost hit them and still accomplish something amazing. Had we never strived so high, we never would have hit as high as we did.”

  3. Internet Bubble Comes Calling. Bill is human, like all of us, and so when the internet bubble started to take off, and he found himself on the sidelines managing an outsourcing business at struggling Xerox, he started to get the itch to get into the fray. A young startup called Techies.com had reached out asking if Bill would be their CEO. Bill considered it an interesting proposition - everything was going up and to the right and Techies could IPO as soon as next year. Techies.com was an online website for tech companies to post about job openings. After meeting everyone and interviewing for the job of CEO, Bill decides he can’t do it. “ The only thing about your company that really interests me is the money, and that’s the wrong reason to work for anyone.” Bill did get whisked away though, by another IT firm - Gartner. Bill had left Xerox for a whole 2 weeks in 1995 and joined Gartner at the urging of former Xerox executive, Follett Carter. McDermott joined Gartner in 2000, serving as President while Michael Fleisher served as CEO. He felt it was off from the first couple weeks on the job. “I saw it in the jeans and tieless shirts that even senior executives wore Mondays through Fridays. I felt it in Gartner’s small-company, New Economy culture, which shocked my corporate sensibilities.” Matters were maid worse when Julie McDermott was diagnosed with Breast Cancer. Things were tough for the year Bill was at Gartner, and he decided to move on to Siebel Systems where he worked with tech legend, Tom Siebel, founder of Siebel Systems and C3.AI. Bill would only last a year at Siebel too, burnt out after working tirelessly in the months following 9/11. In hindsight, each of these smaller steps into executive roles broadened Bill’s knowledge of the technology evolution and CRM space specifically. These would be the foundation for his job offer from SAP America in 2004.

Business Themes

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  1. Setting Ambitious Goals. Bill is no stranger to big roles and he absolutely relishes the spotlight. He has a smooth, calming, excited voice that shines through every word in the book. He is a big vision guy, but unafraid to get tactical in areas he knows well like sales. Having worked his way up from a rookie salesman at 22 to a district manager at Xerox, McDermott always took a similar approach to fixing broken organizations. When he got to his district manager role in Puerto Rico, the worst performing district in Xerox, he made it clear that things were going to change. He wanted to take Puerto Rico from the worst performing division to the best performing division in one year. He set out by asking the sales managers a simple question: “What do you need?” He slowly identified the issues holding the division back (a lack of investment, consistent expense cuts, and poor goal setting) and he fixed them. Puerto Rico became the number one sales group in Xerox. This extreme goal setting shows up multiple times in McDermott’s career. When he became head of Xerox’s outsourcing XBS division he set a $4B revenue goal. “Three billion dollars in revenue by 2000 was a more realistic goal yet still a dream target. So why not tell everyone $3B, Bill? Because my hurdle - getting my people ecstatic about selling outsourcing - was so high that I need to get everyone’s mind to a place where the dream soeemed so impossible that it was exciting to pursue. For more than a decade now, I’d watched teams rise to the expectations set for them. The more daring the target, the higher people rose.” When he got to SAP America, he proclaimed they’d be a $3B revenue business by 2005, after years of lackluster growth, “In the next three years, we are going to increase our revenue by one billion dollars. Since 1999, SAP America’s revenue had barely grown $100m, in total.” After a major operational overhaul, they achieved his goal. When he got to ServiceNow, he similarly announced a goal of $10B of annual revenue. Time will tell if he hits the goal.

  2. Big software M&A - Does it work? Bill McDermott was on the way to Hawaii when he got the call from SAP’s board about becoming Co-CEO of SAP. After the shock wore off, he quickly accepted the job, excited to lead the whole organization after he had successfully turned around SAP North America. Bill initially shared the CEO role with Jim Hagamann Snabe, a German engineer that would lead the product and engineering side of the business while Bill focused on commercial efforts. In 2014, Bill was named sole CEO, a new development for the traditional SAP that normally opted for a co-CEO model. Reflecting on it years later, Mcdermott commented in a Duke university visit in 2016, “Well, you know, when we were co-CEOs in 2010, it's what the company needed then. As you know, we were coming off the financial crisis of 2008. 2009 was a relatively slow recovery for the world, and SAP made a CEO change. And it was really important to have one office of the CEO with two friends, that really wanted to make a difference. And a lot of things needed to be done to build the company, build a strategy, do some major M&A moves, and get the company set up for growth again. And once that was done, then it became necessary to build on the vision but make much quicker decisions, move at a pace that was even beyond the pace we were moving at, which was pretty fast. And at that point, SAP needed that person that could make the call and be very, very decisive. And fortunately, things seem to be going pretty well.” McDermott launched an aggressive M&A campaign, spending $35B in acquisitions from 2010-2020. The acquisitions added about $3.4B of revenue to the company. These acquisitions were in all sorts of different areas but focused on SAP’s core areas including ERP, HCM, and Database technologies. I believe these acquisitions did two things simultaneously for SAP. Sirst it helped push a historically mainframe driven technology company into the cloud. Second, it broadened the capabilities of their core ERP offering while extending SAP into global markets, particularly strengthening its US position against ERP competitor Oracle, which had its own ERP and HCM applications. While these acquisitions worked for a time, the company is still fighting its license/maintenance past, and trying to move more aggressively to the cloud. The positive way to view these deals is Bill grew the organization, its capabilities, and its reach while using modest amounts of leverage and growing the company’s revenue and EPS. The negative way to view it is Bill went on a shopping spree of random technologies that were never fully integrated, and today saddle the company with enormous tech debt, little flexibility, and sub-par growth.

  3. The Journey: Ithaca to CEO. Bill is a strong proponent of enjoying one’s career journey over its destination. As a night MBA student at Kellogg, he learned of the C.P Cavafy poem, Ithaca, which reads: “Keep Ithaka always in your mind. Arriving there is what you’re destined for. But don’t hurry the journey at all. Better if it lasts for years, so you’re old by the time you reach the island, wealthy with all you’ve gained on the way, not expecting Ithaka to make you rich. Ithaka gave you the marvelous journey. Without her you wouldn't have set out. She has nothing left to give you now. And if you find her poor, Ithaka won’t have fooled you. Wise as you will have become, so full of experience, you’ll have understood by then what these Ithakas mean.” As he contemplated moving on from Xerox, and pushing away his dream of becoming CEO, he came back to this poem, using it as a base before writing out his core beliefs and goals. “ My personal goals included having quality time with my family; to love Julie with the enthusiasm and compassion of our wedding day; to help my son (and eventually his sibling) grow into a healthy, happy, well-adjusted adult; to love my parents and my brother and sister, always remembering my roots, and to live with passion every day. Next, I listed my career aspirations: 1. To be a winner. 2. To lead others to the doorstep of their dreams. 3. To manage a career and not the other way around. 4. To never confuse that which is most important with that which is not. 5. To earn a living commensurate with my talent, but not be ruled by the shallow shadows of money. 6. To be the ruler of my own destiny, not to slave for what someone else wants my destiny to be - in control.” Ten years later, when he was considering moving on from Siebel Systems, Bill re-wrote his goals again and realized that he wanted to be in control of his own destiny. “ I wanted my freedom back. I was ready to be a CEO.”

Dig Deeper

  • SAP’s CEO on Being the American Head of a German Multinational

  • Distinguished Speakers Series - Bill McDermott, CEO, SAP

  • The Inside View with Bill McDermott

  • Grit Podcast - Chairman & CEO ServiceNow, Bill McDermott

  • Think bold - Tough times call for tough people, says Kellogg School alum and CEO

tags: Bill McDermott, SAP, ServiceNow, Xerox, Gartner, Sybase, Siebel Systems, Andy Grove, Techies.com, Tom Siebel
categories: Non-Fiction
 

April 2019 - Only the Paranoid Survive by Andrew S. Grove

This book details how to manage a company through complex industry change. It is incredibly prescient and a great management book.

Tech Themes

  1. The decoupling of hardware and software. In the early days of personal computers (1980s) the hardware and software were both provided by the same company. This is complete vertical alignment, similar to what we’ve discussed before with Apple. The major providers of the day were IBM, Digital Equipment Corporation (DEC - Acquired by Compaq which was acquired by HP), Sperry Univac and Wang. When you bought a PC, the sales and distribution, application software, operating system, and chips were all handled by the same Company. This created extreme vendor lock-in because each PC had different and complicated ways of operating. Customers typically stayed with the same vendor for years to avoid the headache of learning the new system. Over time, driven by the increases in memory efficiency, and the rise of Intel (where Andy Grove was employee #3), the PC industry began to shift to a horizontal model. In this model, retail stores (Micro Center, Best Buy, etc.) provided sales and distribution, dedicated software companies provided applications (Apple at the time, Microsoft, Mosaic, etc.), Intel provided the chips, and Microsoft provided the operating system (MS-DOS, then Windows). This decoupling produced a more customized computer for significantly lower cost and became the dominant model for purchasing going forward. Dell computers were the first to really capitalize on this trend.

  2. Microprocessors and memory chips. Intel started in 1968 and was the first to market with a microchip that could be used to store computer memory. Demand was strong because it was the first of its kind, and Intel significantly ramped up production to satisfy that demand. By the early eighties, it was a computer powerhouse and the name Intel was synonymous with computer memory. In the mid-eighties, Japanese memory producers began to appear on the scene and could produce higher-quality chips at a cheaper cost. At first, Intel saw these producers as a healthy backup plan when demand exceeded Intel’s supply, but over time it became clear they were losing market share. Intel saw this commoditization and decided to pivot out of the memory business and into the newer, less-competitive microprocessor business. The microprocessor (or CPU) handles the execution of tasks within the computer, while memories simply store the byproduct of that execution. As memory became easier to produce, the cost dropped dramatically and business became more competitive with producers consistently undercutting each other to win business. On the other hand, microprocessors became increasingly important as the internet grew, applications became more complex and computer speed became a top-selling point.

  3. Mainframes to PCs. IBM had become the biggest technology company in the world on the backs of mainframes: massive, powerful, inflexible, and expensive mega-computers. As the computing industry began to shift to PCs and move away from a vertical alignment to a horizontal one, IBM was caught flat-footed. In 1981, IBM chose Intel to provide the microprocessor for their PC, which led to Intel becoming the most widely accepted supplier of microprocessors. The industry followed volume - manufacturers focused on producing on top of Intel architecture, developers focused on developing on the best operating system (Microsoft Windows) and over time Intel and Microsoft encroached on IBM’s turf. Grove’s reasoning for this is simple: “IBM was composed of a group of people who had won time and time again, decade after decade, in the battle among vertical computer players. So when the industry changed, they attempted to use the same type of thinking regarding product development and competitiveness that had worked so well in the past.” Just because the company has been successful before, it doesn’t mean it will be successful again when change occurs.

The six forces acting on a business at any time. When one becomes outsized, it can represent a strategic inflection point to the business.

The six forces acting on a business at any time. When one becomes outsized, it can represent a strategic inflection point to the business.

Business Themes

  1. Strategic Inflection Points and 10x forces. A strategic inflection point is a fundamental shift in a business, due to industry dynamics. Examples of well known shifts include: mainframes to PCs, vertical computer production to horizontal production, on-premise hardware to the cloud, shrink-wrapped software to SaaS, and physical retail to e-commerce. These strategic inflection points are caused by 10x forces, which represent the underlying shift in the technology or demand that has caused the inflection point. Deriving from the Porter five forces model, these forces can affect your current competitors, complementors, customers, suppliers, potential competitors and substitutes. For Intel, the 10x force came from their Japanese competitors which could produce better quality memories at a substantially lower cost. Recognizing these inflection points can be difficult, and takes place over time in stages. Grove describes it best: “First, there is a troubling sense that something is different. Things don’t work the way they used to. Customers’ attitudes toward you are different. The trade shows seem weird. Then there is a growing dissonance between what your company thinks it is doing and what is actually happening inside the bowels of the organization. Such misalignment between corporate statements and operational actions hints at more than the normal chaos that you have learned to live with. Eventually, a new framework, a new set of understandings, a new set of actions emerges…working your way through a strategic inflection point is like venturing into what i call the valley of death.”

  2. The bottoms up, top-down way to “Let chaos reign.” The way to respond to a strategic inflection point comes through experimentation. As Grove says, “Loosen up the level of control that your organization normally is accustomed to. Let people try different techniques, review different products. Only stepping out of the old ruts will bring new insights.” This idea was also recently discussed by Jeff Bezos in his annual shareholder letter - he likened this idea to wandering: “Sometimes (often actually) in business, you do know where you’re going, and when you do, you can be efficient. Put in place a plan and execute. In contrast, wandering in business is not efficient … but it’s also not random. It’s guided – by hunch, gut, intuition, curiosity, and powered by a deep conviction that the prize for customers is big enough that it’s worth being a little messy and tangential to find our way there. Wandering is an essential counter-balance to efficiency. You need to employ both. The outsized discoveries – the “non-linear” ones – are highly likely to require wandering.” When faced with mounting evidence that things are changing, begin the process of strategic wandering. This needs to be coupled with bottom-up actions from middle managers who are exposed to the underlying industry/technology change on a day to day basis. Strategic wandering reinforced with the buy-in and action of middle management can produce major advances as was the case with Amazon Web Services.

  3. Traversing the valley of death. The first task in traversing through a strategic inflection point is to create a clear, explainable, mental image of what the business looks like on the other side. This becomes your new focus and the Company’s mantra. For Intel, in 1986, it was, “Intel, the microcomputer company.” This phrase did two things: it broke the previous synonymy of Intel with ‘memory’ and signaled internally a new focus on microprocessors. Next, the Company should redeploy its best resources to its biggest problems, including the CEO. Grove described this process as, “going back to school.” He met with managers and engineers and grilled them with questions to fully understand the state and potential of the inflection point. Once the new direction is decided, the company should focus all of its efforts in one direction without hedging. While it may feel comfortable to hedge, it signals an unclear direction and can be incredibly expensive.

Dig Deeper

  • Mapping strategic inflection points to product lifecycles

  • Review of grocery strategic inflection points by Coca-cola

  • Strategic inflection point for Kimberly Clark in the paper industry: “Sell the Mills”

  • Andy Grove survived the Nazi and Communist regimes of Hungary

  • Is Facebook at a strategic inflection point?

tags: Andy Grove, Intel, Chips, hardware, Amazon, Jeff Bezos, Strategic inflection point, 10x force, software, batch2
categories: Non-Fiction
 

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